Football · Peru Liga 1 · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Sporting Cristal vs CD Los Chankas

Team pages: Sporting Cristal · CD Los Chankas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Sporting Cristal2.43
CD Los Chankas0.8
1X2
73% 18% 10%
Sporting Cristal Draw CD Los Chankas
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting Cristal 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWDWLL
CD Los Chankas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDWLWDLLL
Head-to-head
Sporting Cristal 1–1–3 CD Los Chankas (5 last)
  • CD Los Chankas3-2Sporting Cristal
  • Sporting Cristal0-1CD Los Chankas
  • CD Los Chankas3-1Sporting Cristal
  • CD Los Chankas3-3Sporting Cristal
  • Sporting Cristal4-1CD Los Chankas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting Cristal 1487 · CD Los Chankas 1484
Sporting CristalDrawCD Los Chankas
Our model73%18%10%
Market73%18%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Los Chankas: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting CristalCD Los Chankas
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.51.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 62.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.33.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Cristal 113 CD Los Chankas

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Peru Liga 1
CD Los Chankas3-2
HT 2-1
Sporting Cristal
26/10/25
Peru Liga 1
Sporting Cristal0-1
HT 0-1
CD Los Chankas
21/06/25
Peru Liga 1
CD Los Chankas3-1
HT 2-1
Sporting Cristal
31/07/24
Peru Liga 1
CD Los Chankas3-3
HT 1-1
Sporting Cristal
16/02/24
Peru Liga 1
Sporting Cristal4-1
HT 3-0
CD Los Chankas

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alianza Lima 241572 401552
2 Universitario de Deportes 241365 392445
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 241266 312142
4 CD Los Chankas 241257 343741
5 FBC Melgar 241167 402839
6 Cusco FC 241239 363639
7 Cienciano 241149 393537
8 Alianza Atletico 24978 342934
9 Sport Boys 24978 262334
10 Sporting Cristal 248511 383829
11 Comerciantes Unidos 24789 323329
12 Atletico Grau 248511 202329
13 Juan Pablo II College 247611 355027
14 Sport Huancayo 247512 314126
15 Deportivo Moquegua 246711 233325
16 FC Cajamarca 246612 364424
17 AD Tarma 245712 273622
18 UTC Cajamarca 244812 274215

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting CristalCD Los Chankas
Sport Boys 0-1 L 1-0 W
Alianza Atletico 1-3 L 1-3 L
Sport Huancayo 4-1 W 1-1 D
Universitario de Deportes 1-1 D 0-3 L
Juan Pablo II College 2-0 W 3-4 L
FBC Melgar 1-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Cristal (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Cristal

LWLWLWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Sport Boys
Peru Liga 1
0-1 0-1 24 L
21/08 Alianza Atletico
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-3 55 L
16/08 Sport Huancayo
Peru Liga 1
2-0 4-1 114 W
08/08 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-1 44 D
02/08 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Liga 1
0-0 2-0 67 W
26/07 FBC Melgar
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-2 24 L
17/07 Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-0 101 W
01/06 Cienciano
Peru Liga 1
2-1 2-3 52 L
24/05 AD Tarma
Peru Liga 1
0-1 2-1 129 W
15/05 FC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
1-0 1-3 39 L

CD Los Chankas

WLDWLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Liga 1
2-3 3-4 45 L
24/08 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Liga 1
0-1 0-3 L
15/08 FBC Melgar
Peru Liga 1
0-2 0-3 71 L
07/08 Sport Huancayo
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-1 26 D
31/07 Comerciantes Unidos
Peru Liga 1
3-2 3-2 56 W
24/07 Alianza Atletico
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-3 63 L
19/07 Sport Boys
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-0 51 W
31/05 UTC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
2-0 2-2 54 D
24/05 Alianza Lima
Peru Liga 1
0-2 0-3 12 L
17/05 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Liga 1
1-0 1-0 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Cristal vs CD Los Chankas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Cristal win (73%). Probabilities: Sporting Cristal 73%, draw 18%, CD Los Chankas 10%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Cristal vs CD Los Chankas?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Sporting Cristal 2.43 · CD Los Chankas 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs CD Los Chankas?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.