Prediction: Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico
Team pages: Atletico Grau · Alianza Atletico
- Alianza Atletico2-2Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau1-1Alianza Atletico
- Alianza Atletico2-1Atletico Grau
- Alianza Atletico0-0Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau1-1Alianza Atletico
- Atletico Grau1-1Alianza Atletico
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Alianza Atletico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Grau | Alianza Atletico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Grau 0–5–1 Alianza Atletico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Grau |
| 02/11/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Alianza Atletico |
| 29/06/25 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 14/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 28/01/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alianza Atletico |
| 08/10/23 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Alianza Atletico |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 45 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 42 |
| 5 | Cusco FC | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | CD Los Chankas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 34 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 29 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 51 | 28 |
| 15 | Deportivo Moquegua | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 49 | 24 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Grau | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Cajamarca | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| UTC Cajamarca | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Moquegua | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Cusco FC | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Grau (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Alianza Atletico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/08 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Grau win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Grau 44%, draw 29%, Alianza Atletico 27%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Atletico Grau 1.54 · Alianza Atletico 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.