Football · Peru Liga 1 · 12/09, 17:30

Prediction: CD Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca

Team pages: CD Los Chankas · FC Cajamarca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

CD Los Chankas2.01

FC Cajamarca1.34

1X2

52% 23% 24%

CD Los Chankas Draw FC Cajamarca

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Los Chankas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWDLLL

FC Cajamarca 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

CD Los Chankas 1–0 FC Cajamarca (1 last)

FC Cajamarca0-1CD Los Chankas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Los Chankas (rating 1493 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Los Chankas	FC Cajamarca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	1.1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.79 → 1.79	Pinn 1.79
X	3.67 → 3.67	Pinn 3.67
2	4.02 → 4.02	Pinn 4.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +13’	1.79	3.67	4.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Los Chankas 1–0–0 FC Cajamarca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Peru Liga 1	FC Cajamarca	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Los Chankas

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	24	15	7	2	40	15	52
2	Universitario de Deportes	25	13	7	5	41	26	46
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	24	12	6	6	31	21	42
4	Cusco FC	25	13	3	9	38	36	42
5	CD Los Chankas	24	12	5	7	34	37	41
6	Cienciano	25	12	4	9	44	37	40
7	FBC Melgar	24	11	6	7	40	28	39
8	Alianza Atletico	25	10	7	8	37	31	37
9	Sport Boys	25	9	7	9	27	25	34
10	Comerciantes Unidos	25	7	9	9	34	35	30
11	Sporting Cristal	24	8	5	11	38	38	29
12	Atletico Grau	24	8	5	11	20	23	29
13	Sport Huancayo	25	8	5	12	33	42	29
14	Juan Pablo II College	24	7	6	11	35	50	27
15	Deportivo Moquegua	25	6	7	12	23	35	25
16	FC Cajamarca	25	6	6	13	38	49	24
17	AD Tarma	24	5	7	12	27	36	22
18	UTC Cajamarca	25	4	8	13	29	45	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Los Chankas	FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College	3-4 L	2-2 D
Universitario de Deportes	0-3 L	2-3 L
FBC Melgar	0-3 L	4-2 W
Sport Huancayo	1-1 D	0-2 L
Comerciantes Unidos	3-2 W	3-2 W
Alianza Atletico	1-3 L	1-1 D
Alianza Lima	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Cajamarca (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Los Chankas

WLDWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	2-3	3-4	4	5	L
24/08	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
07/08	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
31/07	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	3-2	3-2	5	6	W
24/07	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
19/07	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
31/05	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
24/05	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
17/05	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W

FC Cajamarca

DDDLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	2-3	2-5	4	2	L
28/08	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
21/08	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
16/08	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	1-2	2-3	6	7	L
09/08	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
01/08	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-2	1	6	L
27/07	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
17/07	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-2	1	9	D
31/05	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
24/05	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Los Chankas win (52%). Probabilities: CD Los Chankas 52%, draw 23%, FC Cajamarca 24%.

How many goals are expected in CD Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca?

The model expects 3.35 goals (CD Los Chankas 2.01 · FC Cajamarca 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.