Prediction: Deportivo Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal
Team pages: Deportivo Moquegua · Sporting Cristal
- Sporting Cristal1-2Deportivo Moquegua
| Deportivo Moquegua | Draw | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 30% | 49% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Cristal (rating 1458 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moquegua | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moquegua 1–0–0 Sporting Cristal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Peru Liga 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Moquegua |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 42 |
| 4 | Cusco FC | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 42 |
| 5 | CD Los Chankas | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 40 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 39 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 34 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 29 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 29 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 50 | 27 |
| 15 | Deportivo Moquegua | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 49 | 24 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Moquegua | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza Atletico | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Sport Huancayo | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Sport Boys | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FBC Melgar | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Universitario de Deportes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting Cristal (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moquegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Sporting Cristal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 01/06 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting Cristal win (50%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moquegua 22%, draw 27%, Sporting Cristal 50%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Deportivo Moquegua 0.85 · Sporting Cristal 1.43), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.