Football · Peru Liga 1 · 16/10, 22:30
Prediction: CD Los Chankas vs AD Tarma
Team pages: CD Los Chankas · AD Tarma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
CD Los Chankas1.45
AD Tarma1.18
1X2
CD Los Chankas
Draw
AD Tarma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Los Chankas
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
AD Tarma
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Los Chankas
1–1–3
AD Tarma
(5 last)
- AD Tarma4-0CD Los Chankas
- AD Tarma1-0CD Los Chankas
- CD Los Chankas1-1AD Tarma
- AD Tarma2-1CD Los Chankas
- CD Los Chankas2-0AD Tarma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AD Tarma: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Los Chankas | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Los Chankas 1–1–3 AD Tarma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 4-0 HT 0-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 10/11/25 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 04/07/25 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD Tarma |
| 27/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 11/02/24 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 33 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 47 |
| 5 | Cusco FC | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 45 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 44 |
| 7 | CD Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | 43 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 44 | 38 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 53 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 52 | 26 |
| 16 | AD Tarma | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 17 | Deportivo Moquegua | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 43 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Los Chankas | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Cajamarca | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Juan Pablo II College | 3-4 L | 1-5 L |
| FBC Melgar | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sport Huancayo | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Alianza Atletico | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AD Tarma (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Los Chankas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/09 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
AD Tarma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 23/09 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 22/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Los Chankas vs AD Tarma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Los Chankas win (42%). Probabilities: CD Los Chankas 42%, draw 28%, AD Tarma 30%.
How many goals are expected in CD Los Chankas vs AD Tarma?
The model expects 2.64 goals (CD Los Chankas 1.45 · AD Tarma 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Los Chankas vs AD Tarma?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.