Football · Peru Liga 1 · 29/10, 19:00

Prediction: CD Los Chankas vs Cusco FC

Team pages: CD Los Chankas · Cusco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

CD Los Chankas1.34

Cusco FC1.55

1X2

32% 27% 41%

CD Los Chankas Draw Cusco FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Los Chankas 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLDDW

Cusco FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

CD Los Chankas 2–3–1 Cusco FC (6 last)

Cusco FC1-1CD Los Chankas
CD Los Chankas2-1Cusco FC
Cusco FC3-3CD Los Chankas
Cusco FC2-1CD Los Chankas
CD Los Chankas2-0Cusco FC
CD Los Chankas1-1Cusco FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Los Chankas 1453 · Cusco FC 1503

	CD Los Chankas	Draw	Cusco FC
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cusco FC (rating 1453 vs 1503).
H2H favours CD Los Chankas: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Los Chankas	Cusco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:06 +2’	2.90	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Los Chankas 2–3–1 Cusco FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Los Chankas
04/10/25 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	2-1 HT 1-1	Cusco FC
18/05/25 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	3-3 HT 2-2	CD Los Chankas
17/10/24 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	2-1 HT 0-0	CD Los Chankas
04/05/24 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	2-0 HT 2-0	Cusco FC
14/08/22 Peru Liga 2	CD Los Chankas	1-1 HT 0-0	Cusco FC

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	29	18	8	3	49	20	62
2	Universitario de Deportes	30	16	8	6	52	34	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53	34	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	14	6	9	41	29	48
5	Cusco FC	30	15	3	12	45	43	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50	43	47
7	CD Los Chankas	29	13	7	9	38	46	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54	45	44
9	Sport Huancayo	30	13	5	12	44	46	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45	44	43
11	Juan Pablo II College	30	10	8	12	45	56	38
12	Sport Boys	29	10	8	11	30	31	34
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41	44	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28	35	34
15	Deportivo Moquegua	29	7	7	15	25	43	28
16	FC Cajamarca	29	7	7	15	41	53	26
17	AD Tarma	30	6	9	15	31	45	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	30	4	8	18	33	54	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Los Chankas	Cusco FC
Cienciano	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Cajamarca	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sporting Cristal	0-5 L	3-1 W
Juan Pablo II College	3-4 L	2-0 W
FBC Melgar	0-3 L	0-1 L
Sport Huancayo	1-1 D	1-2 L
Comerciantes Unidos	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cusco FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Los Chankas

WDLLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
08/10	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
30/09	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	0	6	D
12/09	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
06/09	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-5	7	4	L
29/08	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	2-3	3-4	4	5	L
24/08	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
15/08	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
07/08	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
31/07	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	3-2	3-2	5	5	W

Cusco FC

LWLWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
16/10	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
12/10	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
19/09	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
06/09	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-4	8	5	L
15/08	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
07/08	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-3	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cusco FC win (41%). Probabilities: CD Los Chankas 32%, draw 27%, Cusco FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in CD Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

The model expects 2.89 goals (CD Los Chankas 1.34 · Cusco FC 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Los Chankas vs Cusco FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.