Football · Peru Liga 1 · 06/11, 21:00

Prediction: Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC

Team pages: Atletico Grau · Cusco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Atletico Grau1.4

Cusco FC1.21

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Atletico Grau Draw Cusco FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Grau 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLDLDL

Cusco FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Atletico Grau 2–2–2 Cusco FC (6 last)

Cusco FC1-0Atletico Grau
Cusco FC1-0Atletico Grau
Atletico Grau0-0Cusco FC
Atletico Grau0-0Cusco FC
Cusco FC0-1Atletico Grau
Atletico Grau4-0Cusco FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Grau	Cusco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	3.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38
X	3.51 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.50
2	2.74 → 2.74	Pinn 2.74

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:11 +1’	2.38	3.51	2.74
22:45 +27’	2.38	3.50▼	2.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Grau 2–2–2 Cusco FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Grau
26/10/25 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Grau
19/06/25 Peru Liga 1	Atletico Grau	0-0 HT 0-0	Cusco FC
07/03/25 Copa Sudamericana	Atletico Grau	0-0 HT 0-0	Cusco FC
29/10/24 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Atletico Grau
17/05/24 Peru Liga 1	Atletico Grau	4-0 HT 3-0	Cusco FC

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	31	19	8	4	52	23	65
2	Universitario de Deportes	30	16	8	6	52	34	56
3	FBC Melgar	31	15	9	7	54	35	54
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	31	15	6	10	47	33	51
5	Cusco FC	32	16	3	13	46	44	51
6	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53	43	50
7	Alianza Atletico	32	14	7	11	49	46	49
8	Sporting Cristal	31	14	5	12	57	47	47
9	CD Los Chankas	32	13	8	11	39	51	47
10	Sport Huancayo	31	13	5	13	44	48	44
11	Juan Pablo II College	32	11	8	13	47	57	41
12	Sport Boys	31	12	8	11	35	33	40
13	Comerciantes Unidos	31	8	11	12	42	45	35
14	Atletico Grau	31	9	7	15	28	38	34
15	AD Tarma	31	7	9	15	33	45	29
16	Deportivo Moquegua	32	7	8	17	25	46	29
17	FC Cajamarca	31	7	7	17	44	60	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	31	5	8	18	36	55	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Grau	Cusco FC
Cienciano	0-3 L	2-1 W
Alianza Lima	1-3 L	1-2 L
CD Los Chankas	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sporting Cristal	1-3 L	3-1 W
Deportivo Garcilaso	2-4 L	1-4 L
FBC Melgar	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Cajamarca	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cusco FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Grau

WWWLWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
23/10	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
18/10	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
08/10	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
19/09	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/09	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
06/09	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-1	2-4	3	6	L
01/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
21/08	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	1-1	3-1	4	3	W
14/08	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Cusco FC

LWWLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
29/10	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
24/10	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
16/10	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
12/10	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
19/09	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
06/09	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-4	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Grau win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Grau 40%, draw 29%, Cusco FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Atletico Grau 1.4 · Cusco FC 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.