Football · Peru Liga 1 · 01/11, 19:15

Prediction: Cusco FC vs Sport Boys

Team pages: Cusco FC · Sport Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Cusco FC1.98

Sport Boys0.89

1X2

62% 23% 15%

Cusco FC Draw Sport Boys

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Cusco FC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLLWW

Sport Boys 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Cusco FC 3–3 Sport Boys (6 last)

Sport Boys1-0Cusco FC
Cusco FC3-0Sport Boys
Sport Boys1-2Cusco FC
Cusco FC3-1Sport Boys
Sport Boys3-0Cusco FC
Sport Boys2-1Cusco FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cusco FC 1527 · Sport Boys 1483

	Cusco FC	Draw	Sport Boys
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	61%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cusco FC (rating 1527 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cusco FC	Sport Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.41 ★
2	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.32

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:16 +28’	1.48	4.00	6.00
19:48 +9’	1.48	3.90▼	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +7’	1.52	4.21	5.72
19:20 +36’	1.46▼	4.41▲	6.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cusco FC 3–0–3 Sport Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Cusco FC
07/11/25 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Sport Boys
06/07/25 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	1-2 HT 1-0	Cusco FC
06/08/24 Peru Liga 1	Cusco FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Sport Boys
24/02/24 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	3-0 HT 2-0	Cusco FC
03/10/23 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	2-1 HT 2-0	Cusco FC

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	31	19	8	4	52	23	65
2	Universitario de Deportes	30	16	8	6	52	34	56
3	FBC Melgar	31	15	9	7	54	35	54
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	31	15	6	10	47	33	51
5	Cusco FC	31	16	3	12	46	43	51
6	Cienciano	31	15	5	11	53	43	50
7	Alianza Atletico	32	14	7	11	49	46	49
8	Sporting Cristal	31	14	5	12	57	47	47
9	CD Los Chankas	31	13	7	11	39	51	46
10	Sport Huancayo	31	13	5	13	44	48	44
11	Juan Pablo II College	32	11	8	13	47	57	41
12	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34	33	37
13	Comerciantes Unidos	31	8	11	12	42	45	35
14	Atletico Grau	31	9	7	15	28	38	34
15	AD Tarma	31	7	9	15	33	45	29
16	Deportivo Moquegua	31	7	7	17	25	46	28
17	FC Cajamarca	31	7	7	17	44	60	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	31	5	8	18	36	55	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cusco FC	Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal	3-1 W	1-0 W
Sport Huancayo	1-2 L	1-2 L
Alianza Lima	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Cajamarca	2-1 W	4-2 W
FBC Melgar	0-1 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Moquegua	2-0 W	1-1 D
Cienciano	2-1 W	5-1 W
Deportivo Garcilaso	1-4 L	1-0 W
Juan Pablo II College	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Boys (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cusco FC

WLWWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
24/10	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
16/10	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
12/10	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
19/09	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
12/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
06/09	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-4	8	5	L
15/08	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-0	8	4	W

Sport Boys

DDWWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
17/10	Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/10	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-3	6	9	L
20/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/09	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
05/09	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
30/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
23/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	3-1	5-1	3	2	W
16/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	11	9	D
09/08	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-1	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cusco FC win (62%). Probabilities: Cusco FC 62%, draw 23%, Sport Boys 15%.

How many goals are expected in Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Cusco FC 1.98 · Sport Boys 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.