Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Bangor Celtic FC vs College Corinthians FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Bangor Celtic FC1.86
College Corinthians FC1.98
1X2
Bangor Celtic FC
Draw
College Corinthians FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bangor Celtic FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
College Corinthians FC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bangor Celtic FC
1–0
College Corinthians FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bangor Celtic FC 1487 · College Corinthians FC 1529
| Bangor Celtic FC | Draw | College Corinthians FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours College Corinthians FC (rating 1487 vs 1529).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bangor Celtic FC | College Corinthians FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor Celtic FC 1–0–0 College Corinthians FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | College Corinthians FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bangor Celtic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 8-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | River Valley Rangers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | UCD II Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
College Corinthians FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | UCC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Ringmahon Rangers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 17/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/05 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Mayfield United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Midleton FC Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/02 | St Marys AFC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/01 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/11 | Mayfield United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bangor Celtic FC vs College Corinthians FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an College Corinthians FC win (40%). Probabilities: Bangor Celtic FC 36%, draw 24%, College Corinthians FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Bangor Celtic FC vs College Corinthians FC?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Bangor Celtic FC 1.86 · College Corinthians FC 1.98), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bangor Celtic FC vs College Corinthians FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.