Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 17/07, 20:45
Prediction: Waterford FC vs Cobh Ramblers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Waterford FC2.29
Cobh Ramblers1.46
1X2
Waterford FC
Draw
Cobh Ramblers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Waterford FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Cobh Ramblers
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterford FC
3–1–2
Cobh Ramblers
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Waterford FC 1531 · Cobh Ramblers 1461
| Waterford FC | Draw | Cobh Ramblers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterford FC (rating 1531 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Waterford FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterford FC | Cobh Ramblers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC 3–1–2 Cobh Ramblers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Waterford FC |
| 04/11/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Waterford FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cobh Ramblers |
| 15/09/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Waterford FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cobh Ramblers |
| 23/06/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cobh Ramblers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Waterford FC |
| 12/05/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Waterford FC | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Cobh Ramblers |
| 07/04/23 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Waterford FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
Cobh Ramblers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterford FC vs Cobh Ramblers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterford FC win (54%). Probabilities: Waterford FC 54%, draw 23%, Cobh Ramblers 23%.
How many goals are expected in Waterford FC vs Cobh Ramblers?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Waterford FC 2.29 · Cobh Ramblers 1.46), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterford FC vs Cobh Ramblers?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.