Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 17/07, 20:45
Prediction: Athlone Town vs Midleton FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Athlone Town1.9
Midleton FC0.77
1X2
Athlone Town
Draw
Midleton FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Athlone Town
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Midleton FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Athlone Town 1453 · Midleton FC 1504
| Athlone Town | Draw | Midleton FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midleton FC (rating 1453 vs 1504).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athlone Town | Midleton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.6 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athlone Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Midleton FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Avondale Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Mayfield United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/06 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Mayfield United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | St Marys AFC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | UCC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 27/03 | College Corinthians FC Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Ringmahon Rangers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/03 | Cobh Wanderers Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/01 | Carrigaline United Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 13 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athlone Town vs Midleton FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town win (65%). Probabilities: Athlone Town 65%, draw 20%, Midleton FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Athlone Town vs Midleton FC?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Athlone Town 1.9 · Midleton FC 0.77), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Athlone Town vs Midleton FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.