Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup · 17/07, 21:00
Prediction: Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Shamrock Rovers2.01
Cork City0.93
1X2
Shamrock Rovers
Draw
Cork City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shamrock Rovers
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Cork City
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shamrock Rovers
3–3–0
Cork City
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers 1573 · Cork City 1554
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shamrock Rovers | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 3.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers 3–3–0 Cork City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Shamrock Rovers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 19/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Cork City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 20/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Cork City |
| 02/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Cork City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 14/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Cork City |
| 30/10/23 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Cork City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Floriana UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/07 | Floriana UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/06 | Hibernian Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Cardiff Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers win (63%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 63%, draw 20%, Cork City 17%.
How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Shamrock Rovers 2.01 · Cork City 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.