Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 09/08, 17:45
Prediction: Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole
Team pages: Banga Gargzdai · Suduva Marijampole
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Banga Gargzdai1.11
Suduva Marijampole1.03
1X2
Banga Gargzdai
Draw
Suduva Marijampole
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Banga Gargzdai
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Suduva Marijampole
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banga Gargzdai
1–1–4
Suduva Marijampole
(6 last)
- Suduva Marijampole0-0Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai2-1Suduva Marijampole
- Banga Gargzdai0-1Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole2-1Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai0-1Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole1-0Banga Gargzdai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banga Gargzdai 1543 · Suduva Marijampole 1581
| Banga Gargzdai | Draw | Suduva Marijampole | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Suduva Marijampole: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banga Gargzdai | Suduva Marijampole | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banga Gargzdai 1–1–4 Suduva Marijampole
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 11/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 21/09/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 17/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 11/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 09/03/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | FK Transinvest | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 35 |
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 34 |
| 4 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 34 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 33 |
| 6 | Suduva Marijampole | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 22 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 38 | 20 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banga Gargzdai | Suduva Marijampole |
|---|---|---|
| FK Siauliai | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Transinvest | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Panevezys | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banga Gargzdai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Suduva Marijampole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banga Gargzdai win (37%). Probabilities: Banga Gargzdai 37%, draw 31%, Suduva Marijampole 33%.
How many goals are expected in Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Banga Gargzdai 1.11 · Suduva Marijampole 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.