Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 09/08, 16:00

Prediction: FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai

Team pages: FK Siauliai · FK Dziugas Telsiai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

FK Siauliai1.18

FK Dziugas Telsiai1.5

1X2

29% 28% 44%

FK Siauliai Draw FK Dziugas Telsiai

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Siauliai 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLLLL

FK Dziugas Telsiai 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDDWLD

Head-to-head

FK Siauliai 2–2–2 FK Dziugas Telsiai (6 last)

FK Siauliai2-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
FK Dziugas Telsiai4-3FK Siauliai
FK Dziugas Telsiai1-0FK Siauliai
FK Siauliai1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
FK Siauliai2-2FK Dziugas Telsiai
FK Dziugas Telsiai1-3FK Siauliai

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Siauliai 1426 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1497

	FK Siauliai	Draw	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Our model	29%	28%	43%
Market	29%	28%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Dziugas Telsiai (rating 1426 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Siauliai	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.25

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.27 ★
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.39
2	2.10 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.09

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +11’	2.90	3.30	2.10
19:56 +11’	3.10▲	3.25▼	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:03 +4’	3.26	3.38	2.10
23:08 +2’	3.27▲	3.39▲	2.09▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 2–2–2 FK Dziugas Telsiai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Lithuania Cup	FK Siauliai	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Dziugas Telsiai
12/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	4-3 HT 2-0	FK Siauliai
12/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Siauliai
17/01/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Siauliai	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Dziugas Telsiai
08/11/25 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Siauliai	2-2 HT 1-2	FK Dziugas Telsiai
31/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	1-3 HT 1-2	FK Siauliai

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	21	10	7	4	40	15	37
2	FK Transinvest	22	10	5	7	32	29	35
3	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	21	10	4	7	33	24	34
4	FK Dziugas Telsiai	22	9	7	6	30	24	34
5	Banga Gargzdai	21	9	6	6	25	16	33
6	Suduva Marijampole	20	8	9	3	26	17	33
7	Hegelmann Litauen	24	4	10	10	26	41	22
8	Panevezys	21	5	5	11	19	38	20
9	FK Siauliai	22	2	7	13	19	46	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Siauliai	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Banga Gargzdai	1-3 L	1-0 W
Hegelmann Litauen	0-2 L	1-1 D
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0-3 L	0-0 D
FK Transinvest	1-3 L	0-1 L
Panevezys	2-3 L	1-1 D
Suduva Marijampole	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Dziugas Telsiai (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Siauliai

WDLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-2	1-3	9	8	L
24/07	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	0-2	5	8	L
05/07	FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-3	8	0	L
29/06	FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
24/06	FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania Cup	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
20/06	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	1-2	2-3	8	5	L
16/06	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
12/06	FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	3-4	3	1	L
30/05	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
25/05	FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W

FK Dziugas Telsiai

WWDLLDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
26/07	FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
03/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
28/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
24/06	FK Siauliai Lithuania Cup	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
21/06	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
17/06	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
12/06	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	4-3	3	1	W
30/05	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	4-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Dziugas Telsiai win (44%). Probabilities: FK Siauliai 29%, draw 28%, FK Dziugas Telsiai 44%.

How many goals are expected in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

The model expects 2.69 goals (FK Siauliai 1.18 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.