Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 10/08, 17:45

Prediction: FK Transinvest vs Panevezys

Team pages: FK Transinvest · Panevezys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

FK Transinvest1.89

Panevezys1.08

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FK Transinvest Draw Panevezys

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDLLWW

Panevezys 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLDDD

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest 2–1–3 Panevezys (6 last)

Panevezys1-2FK Transinvest
FK Transinvest1-2Panevezys
Panevezys4-1FK Transinvest
FK Transinvest0-0Panevezys
Panevezys2-1FK Transinvest
FK Transinvest3-0Panevezys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest 1509 · Panevezys 1464

	FK Transinvest	Draw	Panevezys
Our model	55%	24%	20%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Transinvest (rating 1509 vs 1464).
H2H favours Panevezys: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest	Panevezys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.6	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.70

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.65
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.94 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +1’	1.61	3.70	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:22 +1’	1.65	3.94	4.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest 2–1–3 Panevezys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga	Panevezys	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Transinvest
12/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Transinvest	1-2 HT 1-2	Panevezys
11/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Panevezys	4-1 HT 3-0	FK Transinvest
09/11/24 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Transinvest	0-0 HT 0-0	Panevezys
01/10/24 Lithuania A Lyga	Panevezys	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Transinvest
19/06/24 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Transinvest	3-0 HT 2-0	Panevezys

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	21	10	7	4	40	15	37
2	FK Transinvest	22	10	5	7	32	29	35
3	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	21	10	4	7	33	24	34
4	FK Dziugas Telsiai	22	9	7	6	30	24	34
5	Banga Gargzdai	21	9	6	6	25	16	33
6	Suduva Marijampole	20	8	9	3	26	17	33
7	Hegelmann Litauen	24	4	10	10	26	41	22
8	Panevezys	21	5	5	11	19	38	20
9	FK Siauliai	22	2	7	13	19	46	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest	Panevezys
Hegelmann Litauen	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Dziugas Telsiai	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	1-3 L	0-3 L
Suduva Marijampole	0-0 D	1-2 L
FK Siauliai	3-1 W	3-2 W
FK Kauno Zalgiris	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Transinvest

WWLDWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
19/07	FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
12/07	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	1-3	9	6	L
06/07	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
29/06	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
24/06	DFK Dainava Lithuania Cup	1-1	1-1	14	6	D
20/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
12/06	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	2-1	11	4	W
29/05	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	2-1	5	3	W

Panevezys

LLWLLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
30/07	Tobol Kostanay UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
23/07	Tobol Kostanay UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
11/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
04/07	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
29/06	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
23/06	FK Minija Lithuania Cup	0-1	1-2	6	10	L
20/06	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
16/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
12/06	FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga	0-2	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest vs Panevezys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Transinvest win (55%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest 55%, draw 24%, Panevezys 21%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest vs Panevezys?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FK Transinvest 1.89 · Panevezys 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest vs Panevezys?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.