Prediction: Suduva Marijampole vs Panevezys
Team pages: Suduva Marijampole · Panevezys
- Panevezys1-2Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole1-0Panevezys
- Panevezys0-0Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole0-2Panevezys
- Suduva Marijampole1-1Panevezys
- Panevezys1-2Suduva Marijampole
| Suduva Marijampole | Draw | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suduva Marijampole (rating 1602 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Suduva Marijampole: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suduva Marijampole | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suduva Marijampole 3–2–1 Panevezys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 25/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Panevezys |
| 22/02/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 16/09/25 Lithuania Cup | Suduva Marijampole | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Panevezys |
| 12/09/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Panevezys |
| 07/07/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Suduva Marijampole |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 37 |
| 4 | Banga Gargzdai | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Transinvest | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 36 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 34 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 39 | 23 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 50 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suduva Marijampole | Panevezys |
|---|---|---|
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Transinvest | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| FK Siauliai | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Suduva Marijampole (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suduva Marijampole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Panevezys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 30/07 | Tobol Kostanay UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/07 | Tobol Kostanay UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | FK Minija Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suduva Marijampole vs Panevezys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suduva Marijampole win (59%). Probabilities: Suduva Marijampole 59%, draw 26%, Panevezys 15%.
How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole vs Panevezys?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Suduva Marijampole 1.64 · Panevezys 0.72), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs Panevezys?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.