Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 30/08, 17:45
Prediction: Banga Gargzdai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
Team pages: Banga Gargzdai · FK Kauno Zalgiris
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Banga Gargzdai0.77
FK Kauno Zalgiris1.24
1X2
Banga Gargzdai
Draw
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Banga Gargzdai
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banga Gargzdai
1–3–2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
(6 last)
- FK Kauno Zalgiris0-1Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai2-2FK Kauno Zalgiris
- FK Kauno Zalgiris1-0Banga Gargzdai
- FK Kauno Zalgiris0-0Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai0-0FK Kauno Zalgiris
- Banga Gargzdai0-2FK Kauno Zalgiris
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banga Gargzdai 1529 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 1515
| Banga Gargzdai | Draw | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 32% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kauno Zalgiris: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banga Gargzdai | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banga Gargzdai 1–3–2 FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 01/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 28/02/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 08/11/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 30/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 30/06/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | FK Transinvest | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 39 |
| 3 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Banga Gargzdai | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 37 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 53 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banga Gargzdai | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Suduva Marijampole | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Siauliai | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Transinvest | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banga Gargzdai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banga Gargzdai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kauno Zalgiris win (48%). Probabilities: Banga Gargzdai 23%, draw 29%, FK Kauno Zalgiris 48%.
How many goals are expected in Banga Gargzdai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Banga Gargzdai 0.77 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 1.24), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banga Gargzdai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.