Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 31/08, 17:45

Prediction: FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen

Team pages: FK Dziugas Telsiai · Hegelmann Litauen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
FK Dziugas Telsiai1.41
Hegelmann Litauen1.22
1X2
40% 28% 32%
FK Dziugas Telsiai Draw Hegelmann Litauen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Dziugas Telsiai 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDWLDWLL
Hegelmann Litauen 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWLLLD
Head-to-head
FK Dziugas Telsiai 1–3–2 Hegelmann Litauen (6 last)
  • Hegelmann Litauen1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
  • FK Dziugas Telsiai3-0Hegelmann Litauen
  • Hegelmann Litauen1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
  • Hegelmann Litauen4-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
  • FK Dziugas Telsiai1-1Hegelmann Litauen
  • FK Dziugas Telsiai0-1Hegelmann Litauen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1477 · Hegelmann Litauen 1443
FK Dziugas TelsiaiDrawHegelmann Litauen
Our model40%29%31%
Market41%27%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hegelmann Litauen: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Dziugas TelsiaiHegelmann Litauen
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 3.62.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.23.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 132 Hegelmann Litauen

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/06/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen1-1
HT 0-0
FK Dziugas Telsiai
01/05/26
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai3-0
HT 2-0
Hegelmann Litauen
28/02/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen1-1
HT 1-0
FK Dziugas Telsiai
23/10/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen4-1
HT 2-0
FK Dziugas Telsiai
17/09/25
Lithuania Cup
FK Dziugas Telsiai1-1
HT 0-0
Hegelmann Litauen
04/08/25
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-1
HT 0-1
Hegelmann Litauen

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Suduva Marijampole 231193 331742
2 FK Transinvest 251168 363239
3 FK Kauno Zalgiris 221084 411638
4 Banga Gargzdai 241077 292237
5 FK Dziugas Telsiai 251078 343137
6 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 231148 372737
7 Hegelmann Litauen 2541110 274223
8 Panevezys 246513 214123
9 FK Siauliai 253715 235316

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Dziugas TelsiaiHegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 L 2-3 L
Suduva Marijampole 0-2 L 1-5 L
FK Siauliai 4-3 W 2-0 W
Panevezys 1-1 D 1-1 D
FK Transinvest 0-1 L 1-2 L
Banga Gargzdai 1-0 W 1-1 D
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Dziugas Telsiai (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Dziugas Telsiai

DLDDWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-2 57 L
17/08 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-2 33 L
09/08 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
3-1 4-3 46 W
03/08 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-1 58 D
26/07 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-1 12 L
19/07 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 1-0 15 W
03/07 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 35 D
28/06 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 56 D
21/06 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-2 42 L
17/06 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 56 D

Hegelmann Litauen

DDLDLWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-1 56 D
08/08 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 0-2 04 L
02/08 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-2 93 L
27/07 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 2-3 63 L
24/07 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
2-0 2-0 58 W
20/07 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-3 1-5 22 L
04/07 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 32 D
28/06 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-2 63 L
17/06 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 56 D
14/06 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 1-1 84 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Dziugas Telsiai win (40%). Probabilities: FK Dziugas Telsiai 40%, draw 28%, Hegelmann Litauen 32%.

How many goals are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

The model expects 2.63 goals (FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.41 · Hegelmann Litauen 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.