Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 23/08, 18:30

Prediction: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dziugas Telsiai

Team pages: FK Zalgiris Vilnius · FK Dziugas Telsiai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FK Zalgiris Vilnius2.15

FK Dziugas Telsiai1.23

1X2

57% 23% 20%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Draw FK Dziugas Telsiai

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWWWL

FK Dziugas Telsiai 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLDWL

Head-to-head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2–1 FK Dziugas Telsiai (6 last)

FK Dziugas Telsiai0-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-3FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3FK Dziugas Telsiai
FK Dziugas Telsiai1-2FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-0FK Dziugas Telsiai
FK Dziugas Telsiai1-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1524 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1485

	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Draw	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	57%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	0.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.70

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.64
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.90 ★
2	4.50 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:40 +42’	1.61	3.70	4.50
13:54 +14’	1.55▼	3.75▲	5.00▲
20:47 +3’	1.60▲	3.70▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:39 +1’	1.61	4.03	4.77
03:31	1.62▲	3.99▼	4.74▼
11:59 +43’	1.64▲	3.90▼	4.72▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2–1 FK Dziugas Telsiai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius
26/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	0-3 HT 0-1	FK Zalgiris Vilnius
21/02/26 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2-3 HT 1-1	FK Dziugas Telsiai
05/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Zalgiris Vilnius
19/07/25 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Dziugas Telsiai
31/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga	FK Dziugas Telsiai	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suduva Marijampole	22	10	9	3	31	17	39
2	FK Kauno Zalgiris	22	10	8	4	41	16	38
3	FK Dziugas Telsiai	24	10	7	7	34	29	37
4	Banga Gargzdai	23	10	6	7	28	21	36
5	FK Transinvest	24	10	6	8	33	32	36
6	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	22	10	4	8	35	27	34
7	Panevezys	23	6	5	12	21	39	23
8	Hegelmann Litauen	24	4	10	10	26	41	22
9	FK Siauliai	24	3	7	14	23	50	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	FK Dziugas Telsiai
Banga Gargzdai	2-3 L	1-0 W
Hegelmann Litauen	3-2 W	1-1 D
FK Transinvest	3-1 W	0-1 L
FK Siauliai	3-0 W	4-3 W
Panevezys	3-0 W	1-1 D
FK Kauno Zalgiris	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

LWWWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	2-3	10	5	L
27/07	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
19/07	FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
05/07	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	3-0	4	0	W
28/06	FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
20/06	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
16/06	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
12/06	FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga	3-0	3-2	7	2	W
31/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
24/05	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	1-2	1-3	4	6	L

FK Dziugas Telsiai

WDLDDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
09/08	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	3-1	4-3	4	6	W
03/08	Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
26/07	FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
03/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
28/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/06	Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
17/06	Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
12/06	FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga	2-0	4-3	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zalgiris Vilnius win (57%). Probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 57%, draw 23%, FK Dziugas Telsiai 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.15 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.