Prediction: Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
Team pages: Panevezys · Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai0-3Panevezys
- Panevezys1-0Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai0-1Panevezys
- Banga Gargzdai2-2Panevezys
- Panevezys1-0Banga Gargzdai
- Banga Gargzdai1-1Panevezys
| Panevezys | Draw | Banga Gargzdai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panevezys (rating 1551 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Panevezys: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panevezys | Banga Gargzdai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panevezys 4–2–0 Banga Gargzdai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Panevezys |
| 24/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 21/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Panevezys |
| 18/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Panevezys |
| 20/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banga Gargzdai |
| 23/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Banga Gargzdai | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Panevezys |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 20 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva Marijampole | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 50 |
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 41 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 38 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 32 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 48 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panevezys | Banga Gargzdai |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Suduva Marijampole | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Siauliai | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| FK Transinvest | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Panevezys (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panevezys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Banga Gargzdai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/09 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Panevezys win (37%). Probabilities: Panevezys 37%, draw 29%, Banga Gargzdai 34%.
How many goals are expected in Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Panevezys 1.27 · Banga Gargzdai 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.