Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Panevezys
Team pages: FK Dziugas Telsiai · Panevezys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
FK Dziugas Telsiai1.38
Panevezys1.47
1X2
FK Dziugas Telsiai
Draw
Panevezys
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Dziugas Telsiai
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Panevezys
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Dziugas Telsiai
3–2–1
Panevezys
(6 last)
- Panevezys1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai4-0Panevezys
- Panevezys0-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
- Panevezys1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai1-4Panevezys
- Panevezys0-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1468 · Panevezys 1538
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | Draw | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panevezys (rating 1468 vs 1538).
- H2H favours FK Dziugas Telsiai: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 3–2–1 Panevezys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 30/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Panevezys |
| 05/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 10/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Panevezys | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 26/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Panevezys |
| 08/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 57 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 50 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 46 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 41 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | 39 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 32 | 52 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Dziugas Telsiai | Panevezys |
|---|---|---|
| FK Transinvest | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Suduva Marijampole | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Siauliai | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Panevezys (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Panevezys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Panevezys?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Panevezys win (39%). Probabilities: FK Dziugas Telsiai 35%, draw 27%, Panevezys 39%.
How many goals are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Panevezys?
The model expects 2.85 goals (FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.38 · Panevezys 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Panevezys?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.