Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 17/10, 16:30
Prediction: FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Transinvest
Team pages: FK Dziugas Telsiai · FK Transinvest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
FK Dziugas Telsiai1.17
FK Transinvest1.6
1X2
FK Dziugas Telsiai
Draw
FK Transinvest
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Dziugas Telsiai
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FK Transinvest
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Dziugas Telsiai
2–1–3
FK Transinvest
(6 last)
- FK Transinvest1-0FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai3-2FK Transinvest
- FK Transinvest0-0FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Transinvest1-2FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai0-3FK Transinvest
- FK Transinvest3-0FK Dziugas Telsiai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1465 · FK Transinvest 1511
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | Draw | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Transinvest (rating 1465 vs 1511).
- H2H favours FK Transinvest: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 2–1–3 FK Transinvest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 24/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 3-2 HT 1-1 | FK Transinvest |
| 22/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 27/08/24 Lithuania Cup | FK Transinvest | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 23/08/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FK Transinvest |
| 22/06/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 20 | 51 |
| 2 | Suduva Marijampole | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 50 |
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 46 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 41 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | 39 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 48 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Dziugas Telsiai | FK Transinvest |
|---|---|---|
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Suduva Marijampole | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Siauliai | 4-3 W | 3-0 W |
| Panevezys | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
FK Transinvest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Transinvest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Transinvest win (46%). Probabilities: FK Dziugas Telsiai 27%, draw 26%, FK Transinvest 46%.
How many goals are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Transinvest?
The model expects 2.77 goals (FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.17 · FK Transinvest 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Transinvest?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.