Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 08/07, 12:30

Prediction: Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)

Expected goals: 4.8 (Gold Coast Knights (W) 3.4 · Souths United NPL (W) 1.4). The model gives 75% home, 14% draw, 12% away. Under 5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 3-1.

Recent form leaves Gold Coast Knights (W) with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Souths United NPL (W) has piled up 0-0-10 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Gold Coast Knights (W) and 1 for Souths United NPL (W).

75%1
75% 14% 12%
Model analysis
Expected goals4.8Gold Coast Knights (W) 3.4 · Souths United NPL (W) 1.4
Over / Under 5Under 5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (W) (rating 1589 vs 1342).
  • H2H favours Gold Coast Knights (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gold Coast Knights (W)Souths United NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.70.9 / 4.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.3 / 2.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.41.5 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.9 / 01.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights (W) 301 Souths United NPL (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Australia NPL Queensland Women
Souths United NPL (W)1-3
HT 0-2
Gold Coast Knights (W)
17/08/25
Australia NPL Queensland Women
Souths United NPL (W)1-5
HT 1-1
Gold Coast Knights (W)
14/06/25
Australia NPL Queensland Women
Gold Coast Knights (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Souths United NPL (W)
13/04/25
Australia NPL Queensland Women
Souths United NPL (W)3-1
HT 0-0
Gold Coast Knights (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 201343 371643
2 Brisbane City (W) 191261 481242
3 Gold Coast Knights (W) 181332 451542
4 Lions FC (W) 191135 451936
5 Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 20857 272629
6 Gold Coast United (W) 19766 322827
7 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 206212 243320
8 FQ QAS Women 216114 416119
9 Capalaba (W) 206113 234619
10 Souths United NPL (W) 200119 14801

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGold Coast Knights (W)Souths United NPL (W)
Capalaba (W) 5-1 W 0-1 L
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1-1 D 1-5 L
Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1-1 D 1-3 L
FQ QAS Women 4-3 W 3-4 L
Gold Coast United (W) 5-0 W 0-12 L
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 0-1 L 1-4 L
Brisbane City (W) 0-0 D 0-6 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast Knights (W)

WDLWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Capalaba (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
2-0 5-1 80 W
30/06 Lions FC (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
1-0 2-0 91 W
27/06 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 1-1 112 D
24/06 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 1-1 60 D
20/06 Capalaba (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
2-0 2-0 71 W
06/06 FQ QAS Women
Australia NPL Queensland Women
3-1 4-3 62 W
12/05 Gold Coast United (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
2-0 5-0 111 W
08/05 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 0-1 51 L
12/04 Brisbane City (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-0 0-0 40 D
31/03 Gold Coast United (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-0 3-0 71 W

Souths United NPL (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Gold Coast United (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-7 0-12 02 L
30/06 Brisbane City (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-0 0-6 00 L
21/06 Gold Coast United (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 0-3 40 L
12/06 FQ QAS Women
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 3-4 14 L
07/06 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
1-2 1-5 40 L
24/05 Brisbane City (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-5 2-8 21 L
17/05 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
1-3 1-4 21 L
12/05 FQ QAS Women
Australia NPL Queensland Women
1-3 1-3 52 L
08/05 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 1-3 21 L
03/05 Capalaba (W)
Australia NPL Queensland Women
0-1 0-1 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast Knights (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Gold Coast Knights (W) 75%, draw 14%, Souths United NPL (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?

The model expects 4.8 goals (Gold Coast Knights (W) 3.4 · Souths United NPL (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.