Prediction: Lions FC (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Expected goals: 2.66 (Lions FC (W) 1.25 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.41). The model gives 33% home, 27% draw, 40% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Lions FC (W) sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) arrives on a 6-2-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Lions FC (W) and 5 for Eastern Suburbs NPL (W).
| Lions FC (W) | Draw | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lions FC (W) | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lions FC (W) 1–0–5 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lions FC (W) |
| 02/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lions FC (W) |
| 29/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Lions FC (W) |
| 24/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 31/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Lions FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 58 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Brisbane City (W) | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 48 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 27 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 8 | FQ QAS Women | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 61 | 19 |
| 9 | Capalaba (W) | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lions FC (W) | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Capalaba (W) | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lions FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lions FC (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Lions FC (W) 33%, draw 27%, Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Lions FC (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Lions FC (W) 1.25 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lions FC (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.