Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 06/07, 19:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Djurgarden

Expected goals: 3.54 (BK Hacken 1.89 · Djurgarden 1.65). The model gives 43% home, 25% draw, 33% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves BK Hacken with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Djurgarden has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for BK Hacken and 4 for Djurgarden, with 2 draws.

43%1
43% 25% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1527 · Djurgarden 1516
BK HackenDrawDjurgarden
Our model43%24%33%
Market42%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.54BK Hacken 1.89 · Djurgarden 1.65
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Djurgarden: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BK HackenDjurgarden
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.62 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 11.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.52.9 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.23.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 024 Djurgarden

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/07/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken1-6
HT 0-4
Djurgarden
25/05/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden1-1
HT 0-0
BK Hacken
19/09/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken1-2
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
08/04/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden3-3
HT 0-1
BK Hacken
26/06/23
Club Friendly List
BK Hacken0-1
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
24/05/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden1-0
HT 0-0
BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 10910 271028
2 BK Hacken 10550 201420
3 Elfsborg 11461 161118
4 Hammarby 11524 241317
5 GAIS 11434 161115
6 Mjällby AIF 10433 141115
7 Brommapojkarna 10433 151615
8 Djurgarden 9414 191313
9 Malmo FF 10415 202013
10 AIK 10334 121612
11 Vasteras SK 10334 172212
12 Degerfors 10244 121610
13 Kalmar FF 10316 111510
14 IFK Goteborg 10244 132210
15 Halmstad 10136 9206
16 Orgryte IS 10136 10256

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBK HackenDjurgarden
Hammarby 1-4 L 1-1 D
Elfsborg 1-1 D 1-2 L
Malmo FF 3-2 W 0-1 L
Sirius 2-2 D 1-1 D
GAIS 2-1 W 1-0 W
IFK Goteborg 2-0 W 6-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken

WWDDDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Hammarby
Club Friendly List
1-3 1-4 60 L
31/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 3-2 75 W
25/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 64 D
17/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 75 W
10/05 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-2 3-2 44 W
02/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 53 D
27/04 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 2-2 31 D
22/04 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 3-3 94 D
19/04 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-1 59 W
11/04 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-0 310 W

Djurgarden

WWLLDWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Sirius
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-1 D
22/05 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-2 32 L
18/05 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-3 75 L
10/05 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-1 4-2 94 W
04/05 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 6-0 73 W
26/04 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 12 D
22/04 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-2 75 L
17/04 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-1 106 L
12/04 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-2 3-2 51 W
06/04 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 103 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Djurgarden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (43%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 43%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 33%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Djurgarden?

The model expects 3.54 goals (BK Hacken 1.89 · Djurgarden 1.65), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Djurgarden?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.