Prediction: Brommapojkarna vs Sirius
Expected goals: 3.53 (Brommapojkarna 1.31 · Sirius 2.22). The model gives 21% home, 23% draw, 57% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Brommapojkarna sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Sirius arrives on a 7-3-0 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Brommapojkarna and 3 for Sirius, with 1 draw.
| Brommapojkarna | Draw | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1483 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Sirius: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brommapojkarna | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 2.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 3.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna 2–1–3 Sirius
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Brommapojkarna | 2-4 HT 0-0 | Sirius |
| 13/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Brommapojkarna |
| 24/02/25 Club Friendly List | Brommapojkarna | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Sirius |
| 29/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Sirius | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Brommapojkarna |
| 15/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Brommapojkarna |
| 24/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Brommapojkarna | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sirius |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Mjällby AIF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 10 | AIK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brommapojkarna | Sirius |
|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Djurgarden | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Vasteras SK | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Orgryte IS | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Mjällby AIF | 0-3 L | 4-4 D |
| AIK | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirius (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brommapojkarna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kalmar FF Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Sirius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Djurgarden Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 23/04 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna vs Sirius?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sirius win (57%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna 21%, draw 23%, Sirius 57%.
How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna vs Sirius?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Brommapojkarna 1.31 · Sirius 2.22), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna vs Sirius?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.