Prediction: Hammarby vs Kalmar FF
Expected goals: 3.21 (Hammarby 2.28 · Kalmar FF 0.93). The model gives 67% home, 20% draw, 13% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Hammarby is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kalmar FF 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Hammarby and 0 for Kalmar FF, with 1 draw.
| Hammarby | Draw | Kalmar FF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Hammarby: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby | Kalmar FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby 5–1–0 Kalmar FF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/25 Sweden Cup | Hammarby | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Kalmar FF |
| 04/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Kalmar FF | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Hammarby |
| 31/03/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Kalmar FF |
| 20/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Kalmar FF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hammarby |
| 16/07/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Kalmar FF |
| 30/10/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Kalmar FF |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Mjällby AIF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 10 | AIK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby | Kalmar FF |
|---|---|---|
| Elfsborg | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| AIK | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| GAIS | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| IFK Goteborg | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | BK Hacken Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Kalmar FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Brommapojkarna Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/06 | AIK Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/04 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby vs Kalmar FF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby win (67%). Probabilities: Hammarby 67%, draw 20%, Kalmar FF 13%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby vs Kalmar FF?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Hammarby 2.28 · Kalmar FF 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby vs Kalmar FF?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.