Prediction: Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
Expected goals: 3.18 (Malmo FF 1.87 · IFK Goteborg 1.31). The model gives 49% home, 25% draw, 25% away. Over 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Malmo FF with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; IFK Goteborg has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 2 and IFK Goteborg 1, with 3 draws.
| Malmo FF | Draw | IFK Goteborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Malmo FF: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malmo FF | IFK Goteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF 2–3–1 IFK Goteborg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IFK Goteborg |
| 25/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Goteborg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Malmo FF |
| 16/03/25 Sweden Cup | Malmo FF | 2-2 HT 2-0 | IFK Goteborg |
| 28/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 2-1 HT 0-1 | IFK Goteborg |
| 13/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Goteborg | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Malmo FF |
| 03/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 2-2 HT 0-2 | IFK Goteborg |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Mjällby AIF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 10 | AIK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malmo FF | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK | 2-3 L | 5-4 W |
| Hammarby | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Mjällby AIF | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| AIK | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Djurgarden | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malmo FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Midtjylland Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
IFK Goteborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Ham-Kam Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Valerenga Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
4-2 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 19/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF win (49%). Probabilities: Malmo FF 49%, draw 25%, IFK Goteborg 25%.
How many goals are expected in Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Malmo FF 1.87 · IFK Goteborg 1.31), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.