Prediction: Vasteras SK vs Degerfors
Expected goals: 3.14 (Vasteras SK 1.77 · Degerfors 1.37). The model gives 45% home, 27% draw, 28% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Vasteras SK sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Degerfors arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Vasteras SK and 3 for Degerfors, with 2 draws.
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Degerfors: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasteras SK | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasteras SK 1–2–3 Degerfors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/25 Club Friendly List | Degerfors | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vasteras SK |
| 14/03/21 Sweden Cup | Degerfors | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Vasteras SK |
| 05/10/20 Sweden Superettan | Degerfors | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Vasteras SK |
| 21/06/20 Sweden Superettan | Vasteras SK | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Degerfors |
| 22/09/19 Sweden Superettan | Vasteras SK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Degerfors |
| 15/06/19 Sweden Superettan | Degerfors | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Vasteras SK |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Mjällby AIF | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Vasteras SK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 10 | AIK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vasteras SK | Degerfors |
|---|---|---|
| AIK | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Malmo FF | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| GAIS | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Brommapojkarna | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| BK Hacken | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasteras SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | AIK Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Lillestrom Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasteras SK vs Degerfors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasteras SK win (45%). Probabilities: Vasteras SK 45%, draw 27%, Degerfors 28%.
How many goals are expected in Vasteras SK vs Degerfors?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Vasteras SK 1.77 · Degerfors 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasteras SK vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.