Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 13/07, 19:00

Prediction: Djurgarden vs Halmstad

Expected goals: 3.44 (Djurgarden 2.57 · Halmstad 0.87). The model gives 73% home, 17% draw, 10% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Djurgarden sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Halmstad arrives on a 1-4-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Djurgarden won 2 and Halmstad 3, with 1 draw.

73%1
73% 17% 10%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgarden 1511 · Halmstad 1446
DjurgardenDrawHalmstad
Our model73%17%10%
Market73%17%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.44Djurgarden 2.57 · Halmstad 0.87
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1511 vs 1446).
  • H2H favours Halmstad: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DjurgardenHalmstad
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.61.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.80.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.31.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.12.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgarden 213 Halmstad

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden1-1
HT 1-1
Halmstad
01/06/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Halmstad1-0
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
03/11/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Halmstad1-0
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
20/05/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden2-0
HT 2-0
Halmstad
30/09/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden1-0
HT 0-0
Halmstad
16/04/23
Sweden Allsvenskan
Halmstad2-0
HT 1-0
Djurgarden

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 11920 311429
2 Hammarby 12624 261420
3 BK Hacken 11551 221820
4 Elfsborg 12462 171318
5 Djurgarden 10514 231516
6 GAIS 12444 171216
7 Mjällby AIF 11443 181516
8 Malmo FF 11515 212016
9 Brommapojkarna 11443 161716
10 Vasteras SK 11434 202315
11 AIK 11434 141715
12 Kalmar FF 11416 141513
13 Degerfors 11245 121710
14 IFK Goteborg 11245 142410
15 Halmstad 11137 10236
16 Orgryte IS 11137 10286

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDjurgardenHalmstad
Brommapojkarna 1-2 L 1-3 L
Hammarby 1-1 D 1-1 D
Elfsborg 1-2 L 1-1 D
Malmo FF 0-1 L 2-5 L
Kalmar FF 3-2 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgarden

WLLDWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 4-2 84 W
26/06 Sirius
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-1 D
22/05 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-2 32 L
18/05 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-3 75 L
10/05 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-1 4-2 94 W
04/05 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 6-0 73 W
26/04 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 12 D
22/04 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-2 75 L
17/04 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-1 106 L
12/04 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-2 3-2 51 W

Halmstad

DLLLDWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 1-3 34 L
24/06 Mjällby AIF
Club Friendly List
0-1 3-3 81 D
17/06 GAIS
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-1 D
30/05 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-2 2-5 51 L
23/05 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-0 35 W
16/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 21 D
10/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-2 33 L
04/05 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-3 46 L
27/04 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-2 52 L
22/04 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 05 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgarden vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgarden win (73%). Probabilities: Djurgarden 73%, draw 17%, Halmstad 10%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgarden vs Halmstad?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Djurgarden 2.57 · Halmstad 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgarden vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.