Prediction: Degerfors vs Malmo FF
Expected goals: 3 (Degerfors 1.45 · Malmo FF 1.55). The model gives 34% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Degerfors sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Malmo FF arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors won 0 and Malmo FF 4, with 2 draws.
| Degerfors | Draw | Malmo FF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Malmo FF: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Degerfors | Malmo FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Degerfors 0–2–4 Malmo FF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Degerfors |
| 11/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Malmo FF |
| 23/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Malmo FF |
| 05/06/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Degerfors |
| 05/03/23 Sweden Cup | Malmo FF | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Degerfors |
| 06/11/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Degerfors |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Mjällby AIF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Malmo FF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | AIK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Degerfors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Degerfors | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| GAIS | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Mjällby AIF | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| BK Hacken | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| AIK | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Halmstad | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Degerfors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Lillestrom Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Malmo FF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Midtjylland Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/04 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Degerfors vs Malmo FF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF win (39%). Probabilities: Degerfors 34%, draw 27%, Malmo FF 39%.
How many goals are expected in Degerfors vs Malmo FF?
The model expects 3 goals (Degerfors 1.45 · Malmo FF 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Malmo FF?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.