Prediction: Sirius vs Mjällby AIF
Expected goals: 3.04 (Sirius 2 · Mjällby AIF 1.04). The model gives 59% home, 23% draw, 18% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Sirius is 8-2-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Mjällby AIF 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sirius won 0 and Mjällby AIF 5, with 1 draw.
| Sirius | Draw | Mjällby AIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1579 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sirius | Mjällby AIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sirius 0–1–5 Mjällby AIF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sirius |
| 14/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Mjällby AIF |
| 03/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mjällby AIF |
| 06/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Sirius |
| 24/07/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Sirius | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Mjällby AIF |
| 14/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Sirius |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Mjällby AIF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Malmo FF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | AIK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Degerfors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sirius | Mjällby AIF |
|---|---|---|
| GAIS | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| BK Hacken | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Malmo FF | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Hammarby | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirius (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sirius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Djurgarden Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 23/04 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Mjällby AIF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Halmstad Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 21/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Hammarby Sweden Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sirius vs Mjällby AIF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sirius win (59%). Probabilities: Sirius 59%, draw 23%, Mjällby AIF 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sirius vs Mjällby AIF?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Sirius 2 · Mjällby AIF 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sirius vs Mjällby AIF?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.