Prediction: Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 27% | 55% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queen's Park (rating 1472 vs 1535).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kelty Hearts | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelty Hearts 0–0–1 Queen's Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Queen's Park | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Kelty Hearts |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brora Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Queen of South Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Dunfermline UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | East Kilbride UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 28/03 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Queen's Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Clyde UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Annan Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/06 | Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies |
5-0 | 5-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Queen's Park win (55%). Probabilities: Kelty Hearts 19%, draw 26%, Queen's Park 55%.
How many goals are expected in Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Kelty Hearts 0.88 · Queen's Park 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.