Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Stranraer2.07
FC Edinburgh1.06
1X2
60% 22% 18%
Stranraer Draw FC Edinburgh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stranraer 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDWDWDLD
FC Edinburgh 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDWDLLWL
Head-to-head
Stranraer 2–2–2 FC Edinburgh (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stranraer 1500 · FC Edinburgh 1464
StranraerDrawFC Edinburgh
Our model60%23%18%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StranraerFC Edinburgh
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.31 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.80.8 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.13.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stranraer 222 FC Edinburgh

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Scotland League Two
FC Edinburgh4-1
HT 2-1
Stranraer
03/01/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer1-1
HT 0-1
FC Edinburgh
18/10/25
Scotland League Two
FC Edinburgh1-3
HT 1-2
Stranraer
09/08/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer1-2
HT 0-0
FC Edinburgh
19/07/25
Scotland League Cup
FC Edinburgh0-0
HT 0-0
Stranraer
19/04/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer2-0
HT 1-0
FC Edinburgh

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ayr 3300 629
2 Falkirk 2101 513
3 FC Edinburgh 3102 273
4 Alloa 2011 672
5 Stranraer 2011 791

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStranraerFC Edinburgh
Alloa 2-2 D 2-0 W
Ayr 2-3 L 0-2 L
Forfar 0-1 L 0-4 L
Dumbarton 1-1 D 5-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stranraer

DWLDWDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-2 32 D
11/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-3 06 L
04/07 Morton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 81 D
27/06 Dundela
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
20/06 Larne FC
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 100 D
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 133 D
18/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-1 2-1 75 W
04/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 82 D

FC Edinburgh

LLWDWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 54 L
14/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 44 W
11/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-4 0-5 33 L
30/06 Raith
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-4 00 L
27/06 Gala Fairydean
Club Friendly List
1-1 3-3 D
16/05 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
2-0 2-0 15 W
09/05 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
4-0 5-0 W
25/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-4 20 L
18/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-4 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stranraer win (60%). Probabilities: Stranraer 60%, draw 22%, FC Edinburgh 18%.

How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Stranraer 2.07 · FC Edinburgh 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.