Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: Partick vs Stenhousemuir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Partick2.05
Stenhousemuir0.71
1X2
69% 18% 13%
Partick Draw Stenhousemuir
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Partick 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWDLDWWD
Stenhousemuir 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWDDWLWW
Head-to-head
Partick 5–0 Stenhousemuir (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1534 · Stenhousemuir 1537
PartickDrawStenhousemuir
Our model68%21%11%
Market71%15%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Partick: 5-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PartickStenhousemuir
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.61.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.12.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 04.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 500 Stenhousemuir

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/07/22
Scotland League Cup
Stenhousemuir1-2
HT 0-0
Partick
17/07/21
Scotland League Cup
Stenhousemuir1-2
HT 1-0
Partick
16/11/19
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Stenhousemuir1-4
HT 0-1
Partick
14/07/18
Scotland League Cup
Stenhousemuir0-2
HT 0-2
Partick
26/07/16
Scotland League Cup
Stenhousemuir1-4
HT 0-2
Partick

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Partick 3210 1438
2 Stenhousemuir 2200 416
3 Livingston 2110 544
4 Forfar 2002 060
5 Brechin 3003 1100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPartickStenhousemuir
Forfar 4-0 W 2-0 W
Brechin 6-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Partick (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

DDDWDLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 45 D
14/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
3-0 4-0 102 W
11/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
3-0 6-0 121 W
27/06 Pollok
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 55 L
21/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 42 D
15/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 72 W
12/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 21 D
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D
25/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 31 D

Stenhousemuir

DLWWDDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-1 2-1 W
11/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-0 130 W
16/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 011 L
13/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
2-0 3-1 44 W
09/05 Queen of South
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 55 D
05/05 Queen of South
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 65 D
02/05 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 23 W
25/04 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-0 1-0 72 W
18/04 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 36 L
11/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-1 1-1 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (69%). Probabilities: Partick 69%, draw 18%, Stenhousemuir 13%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Partick 2.05 · Stenhousemuir 0.71), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.