Football · Scotland League Cup · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Queen of South

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Queen's Park1.65
Queen of South1.31
1X2
45% 26% 30%
Queen's Park Draw Queen of South
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queen's Park 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDWDWWWL
Queen of South 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDDLLDWL
Head-to-head
Queen's Park 2–4 Queen of South (6 last)
  • Queen's Park1-2Queen of South
  • Queen of South0-1Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park0-3Queen of South
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1529 · Queen of South 1484
Queen's ParkDrawQueen of South
Our model44%26%29%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queen's Park (rating 1529 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours Queen of South: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queen's ParkQueen of South
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.91.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.23.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen's Park 204 Queen of South

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/07/23
Scotland League Cup
Queen's Park1-2
HT 0-0
Queen of South
10/07/21
Scotland League Cup
Queen of South0-1
HT 0-0
Queen's Park
08/01/21
Scotland FA Cup
Queen's Park0-3
HT 0-1
Queen of South
10/11/20
Scotland League Cup
Queen's Park1-3
HT 1-2
Queen of South
23/11/19
Scotland FA Cup
Queen of South1-2
HT 0-2
Queen's Park
16/07/16
Scotland League Cup
Queen's Park0-2
HT 0-2
Queen of South

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Aberdeen 3300 829
2 Queen's Park 3201 636
3 Kelty Hearts 3111 885
4 Queen of South 3111 894
5 Brora Rangers FC 4004 3110

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQueen's ParkQueen of South
Aberdeen 1-2 L 1-4 L
Kelty Hearts 2-0 W 1-1 D
Brora Rangers FC 3-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Queen's Park (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen's Park

LDLDWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
0-2 1-2 23 L
14/07 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-0 50 W
11/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
1-1 3-1 52 W
30/06 Clyde
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-1 63 W
27/06 Annan Athletic
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
26/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
5-0 5-0 150 W
01/05 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 71 D
25/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 14 L
18/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 42 D
14/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 06 L

Queen of South

DDWDDLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-4 12 L
18/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 53 W
11/07 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 11 D
04/07 Crusaders
UK Friendlies
1-2 1-2 51 L
27/06 Connah's Quay
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 01 L
09/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 55 D
05/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 115 D
02/05 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-1 4-1 22 W
25/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 2-2 24 D
18/04 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queen's Park win (45%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 45%, draw 26%, Queen of South 30%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Queen of South?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Queen's Park 1.65 · Queen of South 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.