Football · Scotland League Cup · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Arbroath vs Stirling

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Arbroath1.73
Stirling1.09
1X2
52% 25% 23%
Arbroath Draw Stirling
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Arbroath 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLDLWWLL
Stirling 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDDDLLWL
Head-to-head
Arbroath 3–3–0 Stirling (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arbroath 1463 · Stirling 1458
ArbroathDrawStirling
Our model51%26%23%
Market52%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Arbroath: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ArbroathStirling
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.31.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.41.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.12.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arbroath 330 Stirling

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/10/20
Scotland League Cup
Stirling1-2
HT 0-2
Arbroath
17/07/19
Scotland League Cup
Stirling1-6
HT 0-2
Arbroath
06/05/17
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 0-1
Arbroath
18/02/17
Scotland League Two
Arbroath1-1
HT 0-0
Stirling
19/11/16
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-2
HT 0-1
Arbroath
27/08/16
Scotland League Two
Arbroath5-3
HT 1-1
Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dundee Utd 431 819
2 Montrose 330 509
3 Stirling 312 343
4 Arbroath 312 263
5 Spartans 303 290

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArbroathStirling
Montrose 0-2 L 0-2 L
Dundee Utd 0-3 L 0-1 L
Spartans 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stirling (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arbroath

WDDLDLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 74 L
18/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 64 L
11/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-1 84 W
04/07 Brechin
Club Friendly List
3-0 4-1 W
27/06 St Mirren
UK Friendlies
1-2 2-4 20 L
08/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 67 D
05/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 05 L
01/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 112 D
25/04 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 51 D
18/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-1 45 W

Stirling

WLLDDDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 22 L
14/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-1 3-1 01 W
11/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 52 L
28/03 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arbroath vs Stirling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arbroath win (52%). Probabilities: Arbroath 52%, draw 25%, Stirling 23%.

How many goals are expected in Arbroath vs Stirling?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Arbroath 1.73 · Stirling 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Stirling?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.