Prediction: Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers
| Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cove Rangers (rating 1411 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Cove Rangers: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dumbarton | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dumbarton 0–2–4 Cove Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Scotland League One | Dumbarton | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cove Rangers |
| 22/02/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| 02/11/24 Scotland League One | Dumbarton | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 17/08/24 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dumbarton |
| 23/04/22 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dumbarton |
| 29/01/22 Scotland League One | Dumbarton | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cove Rangers |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Dunfermline | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 6 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dumbarton | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 3-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Dunfermline | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| St Mirren | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dumbarton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Linlithgow Rose Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Huntly Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Turriff United UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cove Rangers win (39%). Probabilities: Dumbarton 36%, draw 24%, Cove Rangers 39%.
How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Dumbarton 1.77 · Cove Rangers 1.85), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dumbarton vs Cove Rangers?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.