Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 24% | 21% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Livingston: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stenhousemuir | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 0–0–6 Livingston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/23 Scotland FA Cup | Stenhousemuir | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Livingston |
| 10/11/20 Scotland League Cup | Stenhousemuir | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Livingston |
| 15/04/17 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Livingston |
| 21/03/17 Scotland League One | Livingston | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 13/12/16 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Livingston |
| 20/08/16 Scotland League One | Livingston | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Stenhousemuir |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Brechin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 5 | Forfar | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stenhousemuir | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Partick | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Brechin | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Forfar | 2-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Alloa | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Livingston (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stenhousemuir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Forfar Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Livingston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Forfar Scotland League Cup |
4-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Hearts UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Alloa UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Dundee UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Livingston win (55%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 23%, draw 22%, Livingston 55%.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Stenhousemuir 1.11 · Livingston 1.86), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.