Prediction: Morton vs Inverness CT
| Morton | Draw | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inverness CT (rating 1436 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Inverness CT: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morton | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Morton 1–2–3 Inverness CT
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/24 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Morton |
| 02/03/24 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Inverness CT |
| 30/12/23 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Morton |
| 12/12/23 Scotland Championship | Morton | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Inverness CT |
| 01/04/23 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 04/02/23 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Morton |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | East Fife | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Morton | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| East Fife | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Linlithgow Rose | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Ross County | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Ross County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morton vs Inverness CT?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inverness CT win (56%). Probabilities: Morton 22%, draw 22%, Inverness CT 56%.
How many goals are expected in Morton vs Inverness CT?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Morton 1.1 · Inverness CT 1.91), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Morton vs Inverness CT?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.