Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Stirling vs Montrose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Stirling1.18
Montrose1.65
1X2
Stirling
Draw
Montrose
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stirling
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Montrose
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stirling
2–4
Montrose
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stirling 1461 · Montrose 1474
| Stirling | Draw | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 27% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Montrose: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stirling | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 2–0–4 Montrose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Stirling | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Montrose |
| 23/03/24 Scotland League One | Stirling | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Montrose |
| 06/02/24 Scotland League One | Stirling | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Montrose |
| 13/01/24 Scotland League One | Montrose | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stirling |
| 23/09/23 Scotland League One | Montrose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stirling |
| 04/09/21 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Montrose | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stirling |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Montrose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartans | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stirling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Spartans Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Tranent UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Johnstone Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Civil Service Strollers UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Montrose?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montrose win (47%). Probabilities: Stirling 26%, draw 26%, Montrose 47%.
How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Montrose?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Stirling 1.18 · Montrose 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stirling vs Montrose?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.