Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Dunfermline2.22
Cove Rangers0.67
1X2
72% 19% 9%
Dunfermline Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dunfermline 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLWWLW
Cove Rangers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDLLWL
Head-to-head
Dunfermline 1–2–1 Cove Rangers (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunfermline 1498 · Cove Rangers 1495
DunfermlineDrawCove Rangers
Our model72%19%9%
Market72%19%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DunfermlineCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.91.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 01.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 121 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/07/24
Scotland League Cup
Dunfermline1-2
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers
02/07/24
Club Friendly List
Cove Rangers1-1
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
28/06/23
Club Friendly List
Cove Rangers1-1
HT 1-0
Dunfermline
25/06/22
Club Friendly List
Cove Rangers0-2
HT 0-1
Dunfermline

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Mirren 220 806
2 East Kilbride 321 1066
3 Dunfermline 211 443
4 Cove Rangers 211 363
5 Dumbarton 303 4130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunfermlineCove Rangers
East Kilbride 0-3 L 3-2 W
Kelty Hearts 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunfermline

WDDLLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-1 111 W
11/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 33 L
04/07 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 10 W
27/06 Clyde
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
25/06 FC Botosani
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
23/05 Celtic
Scotland FA Cup
0-2 1-3 22 L
15/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-0 1-2 42 L
12/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 81 D
08/05 Arbroath
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 67 D
05/05 Arbroath
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-0 1-0 65 W

Cove Rangers

WWDWWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-4 31 L
14/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-0 3-2 62 W
11/07 St Johnstone
UK Friendlies
1-3 2-4 20 L
07/07 Inverness CT
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-4 30 L
04/07 Huntly
Club Friendly List
0-2 2-2 D
02/07 Turriff United
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 70 W
30/06 Inverurie Loco Works
Club Friendly List
1-1 4-1 W
02/05 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
2-0 2-0 25 W
18/04 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunfermline win (72%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 72%, draw 19%, Cove Rangers 9%.

How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Dunfermline 2.22 · Cove Rangers 0.67), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.