Prediction: St Mirren vs East Kilbride
| St Mirren | Draw | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 81% | 13% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Mirren | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 2.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Mirren 1–1–0 East Kilbride
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/19 Scotland League Cup | East Kilbride | 0-0 HT 0-0 | St Mirren |
| 15/08/17 Scotland League Challenge Cup | St Mirren | 2-1 HT 0-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Mirren | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 4-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dumbarton | 4-0 W | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: St Mirren (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Mirren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Arbroath UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Mirren win (80%). Probabilities: St Mirren 80%, draw 14%, East Kilbride 6%.
How many goals are expected in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?
The model expects 3.25 goals (St Mirren 2.62 · East Kilbride 0.62), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

