Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: St Mirren vs East Kilbride

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
St Mirren2.62
East Kilbride0.62
1X2
80% 14% 6%
St Mirren Draw East Kilbride
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
St Mirren 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWDDWWWW
East Kilbride 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
St Mirren 1–1–0 East Kilbride (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Mirren 1546 · East Kilbride 1562
St MirrenDrawEast Kilbride
Our model79%15%6%
Market81%13%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St MirrenEast Kilbride
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 12.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.73 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Mirren 110 East Kilbride

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/07/19
Scotland League Cup
East Kilbride0-0
HT 0-0
St Mirren
15/08/17
Scotland League Challenge Cup
St Mirren2-1
HT 0-0
East Kilbride

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Mirren 220 806
2 East Kilbride 321 1066
3 Dunfermline 211 443
4 Cove Rangers 211 363
5 Dumbarton 303 4130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt MirrenEast Kilbride
Cove Rangers 4-0 W 2-3 L
Dumbarton 4-0 W 5-3 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: St Mirren (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Mirren

LLLWDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-0 61 W
11/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-0 70 W
27/06 Arbroath
UK Friendlies
2-1 4-2 90 W
25/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 45 W
21/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
17/05 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 102 D
12/05 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-0 13 W
09/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-3 14 L
02/05 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-1 63 L
25/04 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-2 84 L

East Kilbride

DWLWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
3-1 5-3 82 W
14/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-3 82 L
11/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 43 W
27/06 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-0 W
02/05 Clyde
Scotland League Two
3-0 5-0 54 W
25/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
1-0 4-0 125 W
11/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 35 L
04/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-1 56 W
28/03 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Mirren win (80%). Probabilities: St Mirren 80%, draw 14%, East Kilbride 6%.

How many goals are expected in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?

The model expects 3.25 goals (St Mirren 2.62 · East Kilbride 0.62), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in St Mirren vs East Kilbride?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.