Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Ross County
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1451 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Airdrieonians: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Airdrieonians | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 2–2–1 Ross County
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Airdrieonians |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ross County |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 02/08/25 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ross County |
| 19/08/23 Scotland League Cup | Airdrieonians | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Ross County |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 8 |
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 7 |
| 3 | Clyde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Airdrieonians | Ross County |
|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Clyde | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Dundee | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Ayr | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Morton | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ross County (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Falkirk UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Elgin UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Ross County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ross County win (55%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 24%, draw 21%, Ross County 55%.
How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Airdrieonians 1.3 · Ross County 2.05), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.