Football · Scotland League Cup · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: Partick vs Brechin

Expected goals: 3.09 (Partick 2.55 · Brechin 0.55). The model gives 82% home, 13% draw, 5% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.

On recent form, Partick is 2-7-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Brechin 7-2-1 over its own.

82%1
82% 13% 5%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1547 · Brechin 1552
PartickDrawBrechin
Our model80%15%5%
Market84%12%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.09Partick 2.55 · Brechin 0.55
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 55%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PartickBrechin
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.12.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.14.8 / 0.1

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Brechin 000 000
1 Forfar 000 000
1 Livingston 000 000
1 Partick 000 000
1 Stenhousemuir 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

DWDDDDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Pollok
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 55 L
21/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 42 D
15/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 72 W
12/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 21 D
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D
25/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 31 D
18/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 68 D
11/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 50 W
04/04 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 68 D

Brechin

DWWWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Arbroath
Club Friendly List
0-3 1-4 L
27/06 St Andrews Utd
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-1 W
04/04 Nairn County
Scotland Highland League
1-0 3-0 85 W
25/03 Formartine United
Scotland Highland League
0-0 0-0 37 D
14/03 Inverurie Loco Works
Scotland Highland League
0-0 4-1 103 W
11/03 Clachnacuddin
Scotland Highland League
0-0 1-0 123 W
04/03 Deveronvale
Scotland Highland League
0-0 3-0 52 W
21/02 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland Highland League
1-0 1-0 18 W
24/01 Nairn County
Scotland Regional Cup
1-1 3-2 44 W
27/12 Banks O'Dee
Scotland Highland League
1-1 1-1 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Brechin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (82%). Probabilities: Partick 82%, draw 13%, Brechin 5%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Brechin?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Partick 2.55 · Brechin 0.55), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Brechin?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.