Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: Livingston vs Partick

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Livingston1.62
Partick1.28
1X2
44% 26% 30%
Livingston Draw Partick
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Livingston 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLDLWWWW
Partick 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDDWDLDWW
Head-to-head
Livingston 3–2–1 Partick (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Livingston 1540 · Partick 1540
LivingstonDrawPartick
Our model44%27%29%
Market45%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Livingston: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LivingstonPartick
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.31.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 63.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Livingston 321 Partick

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/25
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
Livingston2-0
HT 1-0
Partick
13/05/25
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
Partick0-2
HT 0-1
Livingston
02/05/25
Scotland Championship
Livingston0-1
HT 0-1
Partick
28/02/25
Scotland Championship
Partick1-1
HT 1-0
Livingston
13/12/24
Scotland Championship
Livingston2-0
HT 1-0
Partick
05/10/24
Scotland Championship
Partick0-0
HT 0-0
Livingston

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Partick 220 1006
2 Livingston 110 203
2 Stenhousemuir 110 203
4 Forfar 202 060
5 Brechin 202 080

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLivingstonPartick
Brechin 2-0 W 6-0 W
St Mirren 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Livingston

LWDLDLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 104 W
10/07 Hearts
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
30/06 Alloa
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-0 70 W
27/06 Dundee
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 50 W
17/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
1-2 1-4 63 L
12/05 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 86 D
09/05 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-3 52 L
01/05 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
0-1 2-2 64 D
25/04 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
0-0 2-0 74 W
11/04 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 2-3 30 L

Partick

DDDDWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
3-0 4-0 102 W
11/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
3-0 6-0 121 W
27/06 Pollok
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 55 L
21/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 42 D
15/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 72 W
12/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 21 D
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D
25/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 31 D
18/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 68 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Livingston vs Partick?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Livingston win (44%). Probabilities: Livingston 44%, draw 26%, Partick 30%.

How many goals are expected in Livingston vs Partick?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Livingston 1.62 · Partick 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Livingston vs Partick?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.