Prediction: Morton vs Linlithgow Rose
Expected goals: 3.35 (Morton 2.24 · Linlithgow Rose 1.1). The model gives 62% home, 22% draw, 16% away. Over 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Morton is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Linlithgow Rose 7-2-1 over its own.
| Morton | Draw | Linlithgow Rose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linlithgow Rose (rating 1459 vs 1576).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morton | Linlithgow Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Morton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inverness CT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Linlithgow Rose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/03 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Linlithgow Rose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Dumbarton Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Clydebank FC Scotland Lowland League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Celtic B Scotland Lowland League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Civil Service Strollers Scotland Lowland League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | East Stirlingshire Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/03 | Broxburn Athletic Scotland Lowland League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Gretna 2008 Scotland Lowland League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/03 | Cumbernauld Colts Scotland Lowland League Cup |
1-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Cowdenbeath Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 24/02 | Clydebank FC Scotland Lowland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morton vs Linlithgow Rose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Morton win (62%). Probabilities: Morton 62%, draw 22%, Linlithgow Rose 16%.
How many goals are expected in Morton vs Linlithgow Rose?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Morton 2.24 · Linlithgow Rose 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Morton vs Linlithgow Rose?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.