Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Linlithgow Rose vs St Johnstone
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Linlithgow Rose0.81
St Johnstone2.81
1X2
Linlithgow Rose
Draw
St Johnstone
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Linlithgow Rose
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
St Johnstone
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linlithgow Rose 1589 · St Johnstone 1617
| Linlithgow Rose | Draw | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 80% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 15.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linlithgow Rose | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 4.3 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linlithgow Rose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Inverness CT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Morton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linlithgow Rose
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Dumbarton Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Clydebank FC Scotland Lowland League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Celtic B Scotland Lowland League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Civil Service Strollers Scotland Lowland League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | East Stirlingshire Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/03 | Broxburn Athletic Scotland Lowland League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Gretna 2008 Scotland Lowland League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/03 | Cumbernauld Colts Scotland Lowland League Cup |
1-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Cowdenbeath Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
St Johnstone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Montrose Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/03 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linlithgow Rose vs St Johnstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Johnstone win (79%). Probabilities: Linlithgow Rose 8%, draw 13%, St Johnstone 79%.
How many goals are expected in Linlithgow Rose vs St Johnstone?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Linlithgow Rose 0.81 · St Johnstone 2.81), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Linlithgow Rose vs St Johnstone?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.