Prediction: St Johnstone vs Morton
| St Johnstone | Draw | Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 84% | 12% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Johnstone (rating 1664 vs 1428).
- H2H favours St Johnstone: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Johnstone | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Johnstone 5–1–0 Morton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-2 HT 0-0 | St Johnstone |
| 20/12/25 Scotland Championship | St Johnstone | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Morton |
| 25/10/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-4 HT 0-4 | St Johnstone |
| 30/08/25 Scotland Championship | St Johnstone | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Morton |
| 20/07/24 Scotland League Cup | St Johnstone | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Morton |
| 18/01/20 Scotland FA Cup | St Johnstone | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Morton |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Fife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Linlithgow Rose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 | Morton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Johnstone | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Linlithgow Rose | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ayr | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Raith | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dunfermline | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Airdrieonians | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Arbroath | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Queen's Park | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: St Johnstone (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Johnstone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Montrose Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/03 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
Morton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Johnstone vs Morton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Johnstone win (82%). Probabilities: St Johnstone 82%, draw 13%, Morton 5%.
How many goals are expected in St Johnstone vs Morton?
The model expects 3.23 goals (St Johnstone 2.61 · Morton 0.61), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Morton?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.