Prediction: Inverness CT vs St Johnstone
| Inverness CT | Draw | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Johnstone (rating 1559 vs 1641).
- H2H favours St Johnstone: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inverness CT | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 4.7 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 1–1–4 St Johnstone
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/25 Scotland League Cup | Inverness CT | 0-1 HT 0-0 | St Johnstone |
| 23/05/22 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | St Johnstone | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 20/05/22 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | Inverness CT | 2-2 HT 0-2 | St Johnstone |
| 12/07/19 Club Friendly List | Inverness CT | 3-1 HT 1-0 | St Johnstone |
| 08/04/17 Scotland Premiership | Inverness CT | 0-3 HT 0-1 | St Johnstone |
| 03/12/16 Scotland Premiership | St Johnstone | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Inverness CT |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Inverness CT | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | East Fife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inverness CT | St Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| Linlithgow Rose | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cove Rangers | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Ross County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
St Johnstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Montrose Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs St Johnstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Johnstone win (50%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 25%, draw 25%, St Johnstone 50%.
How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs St Johnstone?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Inverness CT 1.14 · St Johnstone 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs St Johnstone?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.